NASA/Caltech/JPL/UTA/UA/MSSS/ESA/D |
Thanks to decades of
exploration using robotic orbiter missions, landers and rovers, scientists are
certain that billions of years ago, liquid water flowed on the surface of Mars.
Beyond that, many questions have remained, which include whether or not the water
flow was intermittent or regular. In other words, was Mars truly a "warm
and wet" environment billions of years ago, or was it more along the lines
of "cold and icy"?
These questions have
persisted due to the nature of Mars' surface and atmosphere, which offer
conflicting answers. According to a new study from Brown University, it appears
that both could be the case.
Basically, early Mars could
have had significant amounts of surface ice which experienced periodic melting,
producing enough liquid water to carve out the ancient valleys and lakebeds
seen on the planet today.
The study, titled "Late
Noachian Icy Highlands Climate Model: Exploring the Possibility of Transient
Melting and Fluvial/Lacustrine Activity Through Peak Annual and Seasonal
Temperatures", recently appeared in Icarus.
Ashley Palumbo – a Ph.D.
student with Brown's Department of Earth, Environmental and Planetary Science –
led the study and was joined by her supervising professor, Jim Head, and
Professor Robin Wordsworth of Harvard University's School of Engineering and
Applied Sciences.
Extensive valley networks suggest Mars once had flowing water. Image: NASA/JPL-Caltech/Arizona State University |
For the sake of their study,
Palumbo and her colleagues sought to find the bridge between Mars' geology
(which suggests the planet was once warm and wet) and its atmospheric models,
which suggest it was cold and icy. As they demonstrated, it's plausible that
during the past, Mars was generally frozen over with glaciers. During peak
daily temperatures in the summer, these glaciers would melt at the edges to
produce flowing water.
Nanedi Valles. Image: ESA/DLR/FU Berlin (G. Neukum) |
Kevin Gill |
After many years, they
concluded, these small deposits of meltwater would have been enough to carve
the features observed on the surface today. Most notably, they could have
carved the kinds of valley networks that have been observed on Mars southern
highlands.
As Palumbo explained in a
Brown University press release, their study was inspired by similar climate
dynamics that take place here on Earth:
"We see this in the
Antarctic Dry Valleys, where seasonal temperature variation is sufficient to
form and sustain lakes even though mean annual temperature is well below
freezing. We wanted to see if something similar might be possible for ancient Mars."
To determine the link
between the atmospheric models and geological evidence, Palumbo and her team
began with a state-of-the-art climate model for Mars.
This model assumed that 4
billion years ago, the atmosphere was primarily composed of carbon dioxide (as
it is today) and that the Sun's output was much weaker than it is now. From
this model, they determined that Mars was generally cold and icy during its
earlier days.
However, they also included
a number of variables which may have also been present on Mars 4 billion years
ago. These include the presence of a thicker atmosphere, which would have
allowed for a more significant greenhouse effect.
Since scientists cannot
agree how dense Mars' atmosphere was between 4.2 and 3.7 billion years ago,
Palumbo and her team ran the models to take into account various plausible
levels of atmospheric density.
They also considered
variations in Mars' orbit that could have existed 4 billion years ago, which
has also been subject to some guesswork.
Here too, they tested a wide
range of plausible scenarios, which included differences in axial tilt and
different degrees of eccentricity. This would have affected how much sunlight
is received by one hemisphere over another and led to more significant seasonal
variations in temperature.
In the end, the model
produced scenarios in which ice covered regions near the location of the valley
networks in the southern highlands. While the planet's mean annual temperature
in these scenarios was well below freezing, it also produced peak summertime
temperatures in the region that rose above freezing.
The only thing that remained
was to demonstrate that the volume of water produced would be enough to carve
those valleys.
Luckily, back in 2015,
Professor Jim Head and Eliot Rosenberg (an undergraduate with Brown at the
time) created a study which estimated the minimum amount of water required to
produce the largest of these valleys.
Using these estimates, along
with other studies that provided estimates of necessary runoff rates and the
duration of valley network formation, Palumbo and her colleagues found a
model-derived scenario that worked.
Basically, they found that
if Mars that had an eccentricity of 0.17 (compared to it's current eccentricity
of 0.0934) an axial tilt of 25° (compared to 25.19° today), and an atmospheric
pressure of 600 mbar (100 times what it is today) then it would have taken
about 33,000 to 1,083,000 years to produce enough meltwater to form the valley
networks.
But assuming for a circular
orbit, an axial tile of 25°, and an atmosphere of 1000 mbar, it would have
taken about 21,000 to 550,000 years.
The degrees of eccentricity
and axial tilt required in these scenarios are well within the range of
possible orbits for Mars 4 billion years ago. And as Head indicated, this study
could reconcile the atmospheric and geological evidence that has been at odds
in the past:
"This work adds a
plausible hypothesis to explain the way in which liquid water could have formed
on early Mars, in a manner similar to the seasonal melting that produces the
streams and lakes we observe during our field work in the Antarctic McMurdo Dry
Valleys. We are currently exploring additional candidate warming mechanisms,
including volcanism and impact cratering, that might also contribute to melting
of a cold and icy early Mars."
It is also significant in
that it demonstrates that Mars climate was subject to variations that also
happen regularly here on Earth. This provides yet another indication of how our
two plane's are similar in some ways, and how research of one can help advance
our understanding of the other.
Last, but not least, it
offers some synthesis to a subject that has produced a fair share of
disagreement.
The subject of how Mars
could have experienced warm, flowing water on its surface – and at a time when
the Sun's output was much weaker than it is today – has remained the subject of
much debate.
In recent years, researchers
have advanced various suggestions as to how the planet could have been warmed,
ranging from cirrus clouds to periodic bursts of methane gas from the beneath
the surface.
While this latest study has
not quite settled the debate between the "warm and watery" and the
"cold and icy" camps, it does offer compelling evidence that the two
may not be mutually exclusive.
The study was also the
subject of a presentation made at the 48th Lunar and Planetary Science
Conference, which took place from March 20th to 24th in The Woodland, Texas.
Via Sciencealert
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